Wednesday, November 30, 2005

Predictions? Um, well...

In my previous entry, ColoradoSurvivor said: "Alright, Jackie, it is time to put you on the spot. Who do you think is going home this week? Are you ready to make your picks for the final four? What about the final two?"

Ohhh... I'm not great in the prediction spotlight! Usually, those I want to win at these shows never do, although I predicted both the Richard Hatch and Tom Westman wins very early in those seasons. But, when you think about it, that's two seasons out of eleven. Not good odds at all, I don't think. That's one reason I never got into gambling. ;-)

Okay, I'll try. Now, keep in mind -- usually the folks I want to win the game don't. I'm going to try to look objectively at this. My personal favorite for the win is Rafe, but I don't know if that will happen. If the tribe were smart, they'd get rid of Judd tonight. I don't think that will happen. I think it will be Danni going... or Lydia.

These are my predictions, no spoilers... just my own self. Prove me wrong about the winner, 'Survivor: Guatemala' --

Final Four: Stephenie, Judd, Cindy, Rafe
Final Two: Judd, Stephenie
Winner: Judd

I would personally prefer the Final Two to be Cindy and Rafe with Rafe taking home the million. But I think this is going to be one of those years that because that's how I feel, it's not going to happen. And, in thinking of the jury, of Judd and Stephenie, Judd's probably got more votes for the win despite his faults.

Prove me wrong, show! Prove me wrong! Who do you think will be in the Final Four? Final Two? Win? Please remember I've allowed anonymous comments, but if I know you give me a hint! :-)

Monday, November 28, 2005

Gary on 'The Early Show' Today

As he wanted to spend the holiday weekend with his family, the ousted from Guatemala Gary Hogeboom didn't appear on 'The Early Show' until this morning. CBS has the transcript (or you can watch the video) on their website ---> CBS News Game Over For Gary November 28, 2005 13:00:05

A few interesting tidbits:
So why did Lydia and Danni vote him out?
"I told them not to vote against anyone else," Gary says. "I told them to vote for me. I wanted both of them to go far, and if they voted for Steph or Judd, it would work against them."

For his part, Gary stayed consistent in his voting, making Cindy his target. "A few weeks ago, we wanted to keep Brandon on and vote out Jamie," Gary says. "She told me she was going to vote out Jamie and she voted for Brandon. I was mad at her for it and wanted her out."

Aha! I was wondering what was with the voting for Cindy bit with him! I was so pleased that he called Judd out on the Immunity Idol lie. :-)

Thursday, November 24, 2005

Bloggin' Ep. 11: "Gay Mormon Boy Rules, Liars Exposed and Steph Explodes"



Seven are left. Who will be voted out tonight?

After the obligatory recap, the show opened on Xhakum, Night 27 where Judd was stuttering, stammering and confused by Joltin' Jamie's ouster in Tribal Council. He wished someone had told him, but as a viewer I can see why they didn't -- and it was a good move on the part of Rafe and Stephenie... Lydia to a lesser extent.

Gary is a happy castaway, but of course. he thinks Jumpy Jamie did him a big favor by driving his own alliance crazy.

When Day 28 dawns, Judd saw that Gary was grilling Lydia. No, not in a cannibalism kind of way! He was asking her who's the leader of the alliance, who she thinks should go next, yada yada yada. And, she seemed to be answering him honestly. She said Stephenie is making most of the decisions and she nailed that one right on the head. Judd ran to Stephenie to tell her what she heard. Judd, Stephenie, Rafe and Cindy think they have the tightest group and will make the final four. They're willing to lose Lydia to Gary and Danni, saying she should have been voted off weeks ago.

In confessional, Rafe talked how Judd has changed and can't really be trusted. He added that he will use him for the time being, though. Judd's confessional showed that he thinks Gary is the biggest liar as he said at the Mansion Reward that he felt Cindy and Lydia should be voted off and now he seems to be in an alliance with Lydia. Now, I think he didn't lie. I think Gary's just trying to do whatever he can, allign with whomever he can... to stay in the game. That's all. To me, that's not lying at all. I don't recall him telling Lydia he'd never vote for her or anything of the sort. Lydia herself is looking out for her best interests. She says she'll go with whoever is the better deal for her own advancement in the game.

It's off to the Rewards Challenge! Each contestant is represented by three clay pots (labeled with their names) full of corn and suspended by ropes. Jeff asked a series of questions based on Mayan culture. Correct answers got the opportunity to bust a pot of another player. Wrong answers sat out the round. The Reward? A day at a glorious waterfall with a feast and a massage. Food! Lydia was the first person to break a pot and went immediately to Stephenie's. Oh, no! Steph was ticked! She started making nasty comments about jealousy and just being downright mean to Lydia. She was the first clubbed out. Now, this is the kind of challenge which really shows who wants whom out of the game. But, the way they handle things may allow a bad relationship to at least cruise along a bit. Not in the case of Stephenie vs. Lydia. Lydia's rationale was that she hadn't won any food and was very hungry. Alas, Cindy turned out to be the winner and she chose to bring Rafe along with her. He came in second place.

Back at camp, Stephenie went on and on. I liked her last season, but not so much this season. She is a strong player and competitor, but the first part of this season we saw her whine so much and now it looks like the power of numbers has gone to her head! Argh! C'mon, Jersey Girl -- throw a bit of normality in there! Just a teensy bit! Please! I felt sorry for Lydia who was Stephenie's target and I wasn't too thrilled with her, either. She pouted like a child -- "Cindy should have chosen ME!" Dang it, what happened to Pep Rally Lydia? I liked her!

In confessional, Gary pointed out that Stephenie eats anything and everything and may be the only contestant there who hasn't lost weight. Lydia said that if she had won, she would have taken Rafe as neither of them have eaten. Um... then why is she faulting Cindy for taking Rafe? After all, she couldn't choose them both!

Cindy and Rafe tightened their bond during their outing and it's evident that they just might have the strongest bond of any two players outside of the Gary/Danni bond which is under the Numbers Game Target. They have final two plans a'goin', trust me!

Upon returning to camp, they couldn't help but notice that Lydia was not only in the role of an outcast, but was acting strangely, too. Cindy doesn't feel sorry for her and seems to think that's Lydia's game ploy with her behavior -- the Woe is Me Card. In discussion between Rafe and Stephenie, it's pretty much decided Lydia is no longer in their alliance at all. Gary tried his hardest to work on Rafe -- he wants in with the Inner Circle. Will he prevail? If not, he'll go down fighting 'til the end.

Could it be time for the Immunity Challenge? Why, yes indeed, it could and it was. This was more of a thinking one with a smidgen of running involved. Jeff told this long convoluted Mayan folklore story that I couldn't begin to explain right now -- the sun, the moon, sons who held the sky down and the ending was why the sun always hides from the moon or vice versa. There were seven stations, each contestant had a color. They had to run to a station, put together a puzzle which asked a question about the tale. Then there were two boxes with answers on the lids. The right one had flags in each color, the wrong had colored sticks. The right answer would run to tie the flag to their stand, the wrong had to run to throw the stick in a fire and then go back for the right answer. Gary gave a valiant effort, as did Cindy... but Rafe won Immunity once again. You go, Rafe! He's thrilled! He thinks he's doing the gay community proud by doing well athletically and mentally.

Back at the camp, Gary made his play for Rafe. No, not that way! Sheesh! His game play! Rafe admits that he doesn't trust Stephenie 100%, but doesn't really offer Gary much to go on with how he'll vote.

Of course, it was raining as the tribe headed to the Tribal Council. Jeff asked his Probsting questions starting with Lydia and the hostility betwixt her and Stephenie. It got quasi-heated right there at Tribal Council between them. Stephenie denied she was running the show. Meanwhile, Gary said that some seemed starstruck by Stephenie and should wait until after the show to ask for her autograph. That got the jury -- Bobby Jon and Jamie -- guffawing and slapping knees. I didn't guffaw, but I chuckled. ;-) Judd went on about how he has never lied in the game and that Gary is the biggest liar because of the Lydia/Cindy thing. Gary called him on the hidden Idol lie. I chuckled once again.

Darn. I'm going to miss him. Gary was voted off tonight. Sigh.

So, who am I liking? I really like Rafe. I think he's playing a smart game mentally, he's getting along with folks and that the only thing he has to watch is winning so much. He's going to have to keep on winning or he might be perceived as too big of a threat no matter how much folks like him. I've gotten so I like Danni, but I feel her days are numbered. I'd like to see Stephenie and Lydia out at this point, followed by Judd.

What do you think?

Saturday, November 19, 2005

Jumpy Jamie 'The Early Show' Transcript

Well, well, well... Paranoia Prince Jamie made his 'The Early Show' visit yesterday morning. The official CBS website has the interview up here --> CBS News Jamie: Et Tu Lydia? November 18, 2005 12:30:05 Ack, I'm so glad he's gone! He's way too confusing and jumpy for my liking!

An excerpt:
And then, I felt like my team was getting picked off one by one, so I had to be the backbone and say what I wanted to say, get in their minds and be like, 'We'll take y'all out one by one,' talking about the other team. Then we merged. I was still so in the mix with things that I couldn't get together one tribe. I couldn't understand it."

Also included in the article are snippets about how Gary, Judd, Stephenie and Danni reacted upon seeing themselves in the mirror for the first time since entering Guatemala. Okay, Stephenie and Danni think their butts are still intact. :-)

Friday, November 18, 2005

Bloggin' Ep. 10: "Blindsided by a Fishmonger!"

Eight are left. Who will be voted out tonight? (Okay, LAST night -- my apologies for running late with this entry!)

The show opened on Night 24 as the tribe members question Gary about finding the Immunity Idol which saved his butt for a week. Of course, Odd Duck Jamie -- recall, I will use descriptors each time I use his name just because he annoys me -- doesn't like him, doesn't trust him and is growing increasingly paranoid and ... er... ODD. He tried to get Cindy in a frazzle over the fact Gary voted to oust her. Now, she has no issue with that at all. She's not taking the vote personally, but Creepo Jamie certainly is! And, you know it's sad when even Judd is a voice of reason. Eek. Yep, even Judd who definitely doesn't trust Gary himself tried to reason with Paranoid Prince Jamie.

So, we watch as Jumpy Jamie starts making up things about Gary -- how he lied and such! @@ No one's buying his delusions.

Onto the Rewards Challenge we go...Jeff explained that the Survivors would be tied together in pairs running through a mud course (about 8" deep is my guess as I watched), making their way through obstacles to retrieve a pot of corn. They had to race back with the corn filling a container at the end. The pairs were two men and two women per team. Lydia was an embarassment at this one literally causing her team the loss. Rafe and Jerk Jamie made up the time she lost. But, had they made that time atop of a normal racing of the female pair, they could have won for sure. As it stood, the challenge was won by Judd, Gary, Stephenie and Danni.

They reaped the benefits of a helicopter ride to a mansion owned by a guy named Louie. While there they would shower (Judd got naked trying to rival Rich Hatch by being a Fat Naked Heterosexual Guy), feast, get fresh matching pajamas, spend the night, have lots of product placement Folgers coffee and, as a special bonus, they received videos from loved ones at home. Gary's family was a hoot! One of his kids asked if he had been hit on the head by a coconut yet and, if so, she introduced herself so he would remember her. I also liked Danni's dogs -- as her Mom put it, the two special men in her life.

They bonded a bit, although Judd is way strong on the Six Power, thus not likely to be swayed no matter how much he enjoys Gary's company. Stephenie also points out the wisdom of remaining with the Six in her confessional. As they left to go back to camp, they brought some of the Folgers with them to share.

Oh... did I mention that Jamie was outright scary livid about their winning the rewards and not him? We're talking schizo livid. You could see the daggers in his eyes! Even after they lost, he ranted for Cindy and Lydia to finish... even though it would mean absolutely nothing. While the others were gone, Lydia was apologizing to Rafe for her horrible performance in the challenge. Rafe was understanding. Camera cut to Jamie Insanie -- he's squishing fruit in his hand and it seems like the fruit symbolizes Lydia's head! The daggers were still in his eyes upon the return of the winners. He immediately went into his Paranoia Will Destroy Ya mode grilling Judd to see if he likes Gary better than him. @@ -- had to eyeroll. Just had to!

More than one Rafe confessional session, perhaps all of them, were about Strange Jamie. Rafe understands that he freaks out about everything, is very paranoid and isn't doing well. But, when he tries to calm him down and talk sense? Well, the paranoia just doesn't stop. When approached several times by Jumpy Jamie to verify that he wouldn't vote for him Rafe said, "I told you I wouldn't vote for you. Ask me one more time and I just may." The reply creeped me out -- "I'd have to kill you then. I'd murder you."

In the Immunity Challenge, yet another physical one, the Survivors were attached to a rope and had to race through obtacles and untie knots... er, and stuff. ;-) The first four to complete the course would move onto the next part -- the same sort of deal but with three levels. Rafe, Jamie, Stephenie and Cindy were the ones who went on. In the end, it was the amazed Rafe who won. In a later confessional, he mentions he may have to rethink his strategy as he might come across as a threat. Out of three Immunity Challenges in which he's participated, he's won two and came in second on the third. Watch out, Rafey!

Back at camp, Judd is figuring the vote with Edgy Jamie thinking the most Jamie would get would be one vote -- Gary's. But the plot thickens! Rafe, growing increasingly disturbed about Lamie Jamie, approaches Lydia and Stephenie about voting him out. Lydia is reluctant and it's left that if she goes with it, Steph and Rafe will vote him out. They know that Gary and Danni will most likely vote for him. Gary campaigned, but it looks to him like the Six will stick together. Wisely, Rafe left Judd in the dark about the plan.

It's off to Tribal Council! Of course, we endure Jeff's Probsting of the Survivors. Judd was so overboard with kind words about Gary that I had to roll my eyes! @@

As the votes were read, the tie bit came to play. You know, leading with Gary, tied and so on. In the end, Lydia went with Stephenie and Rafe -- Jumpin' Jamie had to jump on outta there! He is shocked! As he said after his torch was snuffed -- "Blindsided, niiice! That's how you vote someone out!"

Jeff pointed out that who you share information with, what information you share and how you share it is critical to the game.Well done, Rafe!

I apologize this entry is so late in coming. To be honest, I wasn't sure if I'd write it at all. Right now I'm so down on AOL for mucking up my blogs with their huge nasty banner ads for companies that I would not personally promote. Again, I bid folks reading this to write to the AOL screen name JOURNALCHANGES@aol.com to help protest this crass move.

Wednesday, November 16, 2005

Due to AOL's Banner Ads, I'm Here